Market forecast interactive tutorial

Market forecast interactive tutorial

To help you better understand the six main elements of our charts, we have created this interactive tutorial

Any questions? Go to Q&A

Using cycles, the Charles Nenner Research Center has predicted the biggest movements in global markets for over three decades.

As part of our research packages, clients may receive financial charts on Sunday and Intraday updates. Clients may receive proprietary cycle charts compiled by Dr. Nenner's system like the ones displayed below.

By finding and analyzing a series of equidistant top-to-tops, we find our cycles. You can find these cycles in any data series. We regularly analyze stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, and economic indicators. Cycles provide direction and timing. In addition, updates will indicate price targets and buy/sell levels (signals), which are determined by a complex mathematical momentum-based algorithm.

Using this interactive chart tutorial, we're explaining the eight main elements of our charts. Click on the numbers on the chart to learn more.

How to Use Our Market Analysis and Predictions

On this update, Dr. Nenner defines the terms he uses in cycle analysis: buy and sell signals, price targets, bounces, VIX; standing aside, DAX, Bitcoin (chart displayed), track record.

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How to interpret commonly used sentences

This means that the asset just closed below the level specified in the previous update. The best time to take a position is when signals change.

This means that the asset just closed above the level specified in the previous update. Trading should be done immediately as signals change.

This means the price trend is down until we see a close above the number mentioned. The sell signal has been given already and is not changing today. We do not recommend entering into a trade at this time anymore. Trading should be done immediately as signals change.

This means the price trend is up until we see a close below the number mentioned. The buy signal has been given already and is not changing today. We do not recommend entering into a trade at this time anymore. Trading should be done immediately as signals change.

Once we see a close above the level mentioned, the sell signal is cancelled and becomes a buy signal. The best time to take a position is when signals change.

Once we see a close below the level mentioned, the buy signal is cancelled and becomes a sell signal. The best time to take a position is when signals change period

Sometimes we give a buy or sell level and the asset closes a very small percentage above or below the level given. We need to see another close above or below that level to confirm the signal. In a situation where the investor is in doubt whether the close was convincing enough or not, the best option is to wait for the next update with Dr. Nenner’s recommendations.

Price targets come from a mathematical calculation based on several factors. We do not have a price target yet means that for some reason the price target may not be reliable yet. An example is when the price range is too small.

This means that “we do not have a confirmed price target yet” means that cycles indicate this price target but not all factors have aligned in a way that Dr. Nenner considers the price target fully reliable.

A close always means the end of the regular trading day for that specific market at the time zone the market is located. We understand that certain investors may have the ability to trade after hours but we give levels at closing time.

Sometimes you will see specifically hourly close. This means at each hour.

For assets that trade 24 hours such as cryptocurrencies we use hourly close. That means at the close of the hour. Hourly closes may also be used on intraday for assets that do not trade 24 hours. Any time it is an hourly close it is specifically written. If it is not written "hourly close" it means daily close.

How to use our research

When to take a position - it is imperative to pay close attention to whether a market or asset is on a buy or sell signal in order to take full advantage of our updates. The best time to take a position is when signals change. Signals usually change when the asset closes at a given level.

Example 1

“Continues on a buy signal from $100 as long as there is no close below 98.”

A close means the end of regular trading hours.

In Example 1, investors should buy when the stock closes at $100 or above (buy either during the last minutes of the market trading hours or early the next day) and sell at $98. Therefore, the risk of a loss is only $2.

If the investor waits to see if the cycle is correct and buys at $106, the risk of loss will be $8.

That's why it is very important to buy exactly when the signal is given.

Price targets

Once a movement starts, the system will calculate a price target. Price usually gets very close or even reaches the price target.

Investors are expected to close out positions when one of the below occurs, whichever comes first:

Once price targets are reached

When the cycle tops or bottoms

When the signal changes

Looking at example 2, we can see that an investor went long once there was close above $100 and should stay long until one of three situations occurs, whichever happens first:

  • Price target of $115 is reached OR
  • Cycle top is reached on January 1
  • Stock closed below $98 OR

Example 2

Asset continues on a buy signal from $100 as long as there is no close below $98. We have a price target of $115. Cycles top January 1

Frequently asked questions

The following are the most commonly asked questions. More answers can be found on our FAQ page. Feel free to raise a ticket in your dashboard's Support section if you did not find an answer to your specific questions.

We have several types of clients, for example, institutional clients need advance notice to prepare for a trade. Therefore, we explain our strategy well in advance, it doesn't mean you have to act now, wait for the signals.

We are not a charting service. Investors should not trade based on their own interpretation of cycles published. The final cycles published are a superimposition of several indicators and cycle periods. Base your trading decisions on the recommendation written by Dr. Nenner.

Feel free to raise a ticket in your dashboard.

To raise a ticket, please log into your account and while on your dashboard click on support link on the left-hand side on the screen. Chose the subject of your questions and submit the ticket.

Please note that we are not licensed brokers and cannot teach how to trade. The decision as to which vehicle to use and how much to invest must be done by the individual investor.

Please do not try to analyze the cycles yourself. The best is to follow Dr. Nenner's written recommendations. Please go by the buy and sell signals to base your choices of investments. Sometimes we show other types of charts, for example, point & figure or candlesticks with technical indicators. If you do not understand those charts, please research them on the internet. There is a wealth of step-by-step explanations of each chart.

A down move can be played by selling stocks, selling futures, buying puts, etc. We cannot go into all the specific possibilities in every update. The decision as to which vehicle to use and how much to invest must be done by the individual investor.

The most conservative way will be to purchase long term options.

When the signal is given we can then calculate the next cycle top. Once you have the next cycle top you can adjust your expiration date if you wish.

For example:   UNG- the cycle is up and if it closes above 9 that is a buy signal."

How would I know what expiration date to select since there is no date yet given when the price target will be reached or for the cycle top?

Once the buy signal above 9 is given we can calculate when the cycle tops. Once that is published you can roll your options if you wish to adjust the expiration date.

 

A bounce is a move against the trend, usually very short-term. We can use the word bounce but if we do not specifically mention a change in signal the trend continues.

Settlement price

You can only access the updates that are published according to your subscription. If you signed up for basic you cannot open the Intraday updates for example.

Crypto upates are available to subscribers that signed up for crypto only package. If you have a basic or plus package, the crypto updates are included. However, there is no need to open the crypto only updates. The exact same information is included in your updates namely: Bitcoin, GBTC, Ethereum, ETHE and BITO.

Yes, crypto update is included on basic and intraday packages. However, you do not need to open the crypto only updates posted on the Insights link on the dashboard. The exact same infomartion is included in all updates you receive namely: Bitcoin, GBTC, Ethereum, ETHE and BITO

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